Category: Ukraine

Conflict and Sanctions Sitrep: No Hope for a Spring Thaw

Russian officials, including President Putin, have given very clear signals that Russia is ready for a cease-fire and the start of talks. But, at the same time, Russian forces are pushing to gain new ground and strengthen existing positions.

Conflict and Sanctions Sitrep: Winter Brings a Political Chill

President Putin called the 2014 and 2015 Minsk agreements “a mistake” and indicated the conflict in Ukraine will last well into 2023. Previously there were reasons for optimism that Russia was heading for a frozen conflict, at least through the winter.

Conflict & Sanctions Sitrep: Moscow’s Changing Strategy

It appears the Russian military has changed its strategy and is now focused on preparing defensive positions for a “frozen winter conflict” while increasing the intensity of missile attacks to destroy Ukraine’s power infrastructure.

Conflict & Sanctions Sitrep: The Road to Bali

President Putin has ordered the removal of civilians from the west bank of the Dnieper River leading to speculation of either preparations for a major battle or the setup of a more defensible line on the east bank of the river.

Conflict & Sanctions Sitrep: The Dangerous Month of October

The four provinces controlled by the Russian military in eastern Ukraine have, unsurprisingly, voted to join the Russian Federation. The Federation Council is expected to approve the applications on October 4th and President Putin (who will be 70 years old on October 7th) is expected to sign the legislation shortly afterwards.

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