Archives: Reports

In Context: Central Asia Demographics

Demographic Trends Boost Growth Expectations. Population growth is a contributor to economic expansion. The population of Central Asia is currently 121.4 mln and it is projected to grow to 161 mln within 15 years.

What Lies Beneath – New Uzbek Energy Minister Appointed

At the end of September, President Mirziyoyev appointed Jurabek Mirzamahmudov as Energy Minister as well as Deputy Prime Minister with oversight of the fuel, energy, and the chemical industrial complex. This means the government again has six Deputy Prime Ministers.

Russia & Eurasia Politics Monthly October 2022

The monthly polls by the Levada Center reported a tangible fall in support for President Putin, the Russian government, and the special military operation (SMO) in Ukraine. This decline followed the announcement of partial mobilization on September 21st.

Russia’s Sanctions Response Diary – October 4th 2022

New this week: October 2nd: The Russian government imposed a retaliatory ban on trucking in Russia for companies from the EU countries, Norway, Ukraine and the UK. The decree comes into force on October 10th and will be valid until December 31st .

Russia Macro Monthly October 2022

The Russian economy remains in a fragile balance after the slide posted in 2Q22. On one hand, the domestic output is supported by strong energy prices, rising government expenditures, especially in the defense sphere, a good harvest, and the improved stability of prices and the financial areas, not least because of the surprisingly resilient ruble exchange rate.

Conflict & Sanctions Sitrep: The Dangerous Month of October

The four provinces controlled by the Russian military in eastern Ukraine have, unsurprisingly, voted to join the Russian Federation. The Federation Council is expected to approve the applications on October 4th and President Putin (who will be 70 years old on October 7th) is expected to sign the legislation shortly afterwards.

Beltway 360⁰ – Nuke Potential

For the first six months of the Ukraine war, most of Washington dismissed the notion that Russia might resort to nuclear weapons to resolve the conflict. In recent days, the level of concern has increased sharply, although it still is far below panic.

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